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September 2024 term · Financial Forensics · BSMS4003

Financial Forensics End Term: 22 December 2024 (September 2024 term)

The IIT Madras BS Financial Forensics (Financial Forensics) End Term paper sat on 22 Dec 2024, in the September 2024 term: 32 questions for 32 marks in 180 minutes. Every question is below with its answer. Take it as a timed mock test to be marked, or read it through first.

Questions
32
Marks
32
Duration
180 min
MCQ
29
Written
1
Numerical
2

Updated

Official paper: IIT M DEGREE AN EXAM QDB3 22 Dec 2024 · No negative marking.

Question 1

+1 markOne correct option

A company is facing a lawsuit from a customer. It is possible, but not probable, that the company will have to pay a settlement that management estimates to be ₹3,000,000. How would this fact be reported in the financial statements to be issued at the end of the current month?

  1. A

    ₹3,000,000 in the Current Liability section

  2. B

    None because disclosure is not required

  3. C

    ₹3,000,000 in the Long-Term Liability section

  4. D

    In a descriptive narrative in the footnote section

Show answer

Correct answer

  • D

    In a descriptive narrative in the footnote section

Question 2

+1 markOne correct option

You have been offered a job that pays an annual salary of ₹48,000, ₹51,000, and ₹55,000 over the next three years, respectively. The offer also includes a starting bonus of ₹2,500 payable immediately. What is this offer worth to you today at a discount rate of 6.5 percent?

  1. A

    147610

  2. B

    145110

  3. C

    167500

  4. D

    138601

Show answer

Correct answer

  • A

    147610

Question 3

+1 markOne correct option

Phil's Carvings wants to have a weighted average cost of capital of 9.5 percent. The firm has an after tax cost of debt of 6.5 percent and a cost of equity of 12.75 percent. What debt-equity ratio is needed for the firm to achieve its targeted weighted average cost of capital?

  1. A

    0.84

  2. B

    0.92

  3. C

    1.08

  4. D

    0.76

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    1.08

Question 4

+1 markOne correct option

A firm has a return on equity of 25 percent. The total asset turnover is 2.4 and the profit margin is 8 percent. The total equity is ₹ 4,100. What is the net income?

  1. A

    ₹ 2,460

  2. B

    ₹ 787

  3. C

    ₹ 427

  4. D

    ₹ 1,025

Show answer

Correct answer

  • D

    ₹ 1,025

Question 5

+1 markOne correct option

According to the CAPM, the expected return on a security is:

  1. A

    Negatively and non-linearly related to the security's beta.

  2. B

    Positively and linearly related to the security's variance.

  3. C

    Positively and non-linearly related to the security's beta.

  4. D

    Positively and linearly related to the security's beta.

Show answer

Correct answer

  • D

    Positively and linearly related to the security's beta.

Question 6

+1 markOne correct option

What is the relationship between the IRR and the cost of capital?

  1. A

    The IRR must be lower than the cost of capital for the investment to be profitable.

  2. B

    The IRR must be higher than the cost of capital for the investment to be profitable.

  3. C

    The IRR and cost of capital are unrelated.

  4. D

    The IRR and cost of capital have an inverse relationship.

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    The IRR must be higher than the cost of capital for the investment to be profitable.

Question 7

+1 markOne correct option

PQR financials is a loan provider for businesses, and it is evaluating the following companies for providing a loan.
a. Company A: Debt Equity Ratio: 0.8, Times Interest Earned: 8
b. Company B: Debt Equity Ratio: 0.2, Times Interest Earned: 8
c. Company C: Debt Equity Ratio: 0.8, Times Interest Earned: 2
d. Company D: Debt Equity Ratio: 0.2, Times Interest Earned: 2
As a financial analyst of PQR, you have to review the above information and provide a recommendation to the CEO of the company. What would be your recommendation to the CEO, regarding the best company to give the loan to?

  1. A

    Company A

  2. B

    Company B

  3. C

    Company C

  4. D

    Company D

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    Company B

Question 8

+1 markOne correct option

At the beginning of the month the company hired workers and employees for a total monthly remuneration of ₹ 75,000 payable at the end of each month. How would this transaction reflect in the income statement and balance sheet at the beginning of the month?

  1. A

    Expense will increase by ₹ 75,000 and liabilities will also increase by equal amount

  2. B

    Expense will increase by ₹ 75000 and cash will decrease by the equal amount

  3. C

    There will be no effect on cash flow statement and balance sheet.

  4. D

    Only expenses will increase by ₹ 75000

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    There will be no effect on cash flow statement and balance sheet.

Question 9

+1 markOne correct option

All of the following are long-term liabilities except:

  1. A

    Bonds payable

  2. B

    Current maturities of bank loan

  3. C

    Mortgage payable

  4. D

    Lease liabilities

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    Current maturities of bank loan

Question 10

+1 markOne correct option

A company provided the following cash flow details under financing activities for the year: ● Proceeds from issuing shares: ₹8,00,000
● Repayment of a long-term loan: ₹4,50,000
● Payment of dividends: ₹1,25,000
● Issuance of new debt: ₹3,00,000
● Share buyback: ₹2,50,000
What is the net cash flow from financing activities?

  1. A

    ₹2,75,000

  2. B

    ₹3,75,000

  3. C

    ₹5,75,000

  4. D

    ₹6,75,000

Show answer

Correct answer

  • A

    ₹2,75,000

Question 11

+1 markOne correct option

A fintech company has a ML system that identifies transaction frauds that occur in its system. The model currently has a recall of 99.9%. The fraud rate, as reported by the company in its system is 20 BPS. On a regular day there are close to above 1 million transactions that happens via the company’s payment system, and for each fraudulent transaction the company losses INR 10 on an average. The annual savings (INR) brought in by the ML system is:

  1. A
  2. B
  3. C
  4. D
Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

Question 12

+1 markOne correct option

A time series dataset shows quarterly sales data for a company over 5 years. The company observes the following characteristics:
● The sales exhibit a linear upward trend of 5 units per quarter.
● A seasonal pattern is present, where sales increase by +20 units in Quater 2 and Quater 4, and decrease by −15 units in Quater 1 and Quater 3.
● The time series is non-stationary due to the trend.
If the sales in Q1 of the first year were 200, what will be the forecasted sales in Q4 of the 5th year, assuming no randomness?

  1. A

    295

  2. B

    375

  3. C

    315

  4. D

    395

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    315

Question 13

+1 markOne correct option

What does the autocorrelation function (ACF) measure in time series analysis?

  1. A

    The relationship between dependent and independent variables.

  2. B

    The degree of randomness in the data.

  3. C

    The correlation between the current value and a lagged value of the series.

  4. D

    The difference between the current value and the mean of the series.

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    The correlation between the current value and a lagged value of the series.

Question 14

+1 markOne correct option

If a model predicts the positive class for all observations in a binary classification problem with both positive and negative cases present with class balance 1:99 (positive : negative), which of the following statements is true?

  1. A

    Both Recall and Precision are 100%.

  2. B

    Recall is 100%, but Precision is not necessarily 100%.

  3. C

    Precision is 100%, but Recall is not necessarily 100%.

  4. D

    Neither Recall nor Precision are 100%.

  5. E

    None of these

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    Recall is 100%, but Precision is not necessarily 100%.

Question 15

+1 markOne correct option

What is the KS of the below gains table?

RankMinMaxTotal VolumePositive VolumeNegative VolumeKS
1185.30232.122696026960.00%
2232.13243.302695226935.06%
3243.31251.432696426929.82%
4251.43258.8226957268814.28%
5258.82265.5326953269218.28%
6265.53271.6226963269322.89%
7271.62277.8426952269327.50%
8277.84283.8326958268732.26%
9283.83289.7526969268736.11%
10289.75295.7826959268639.81%
11295.78302.08269514268143.50%
12302.08308.3726969268746.44%
13308.37314.99269516267950.14%
14314.99322.42269520267552.78%
15322.42330.13269623267354.81%
16330.13338.44269531266456.39%
17338.44348.66269527266856.75%
18348.66361.32269655264157.72%
19361.33381.21269562263354.45%
20381.23670.522696364233250.11%
  1. A

    57.72%

  2. B

    50.11%

  3. C

    39.81%

  4. D

    36.45%

  5. E

    Data Insufficient

Show answer

Correct answer

  • A

    57.72%

Question 16

+1 markOne correct option

What is the Capture Rate of Bads at top 10%?

RankMinMaxTotal VolumePositive VolumeNegative VolumeKS
1185.30232.122696026960.00%
2232.13243.302695226935.06%
3243.31251.432696426929.82%
4251.43258.8226957268814.28%
5258.82265.5326953269218.28%
6265.53271.6226963269322.89%
7271.62277.8426952269327.50%
8277.84283.8326958268732.26%
9283.83289.7526969268736.11%
10289.75295.7826959268639.81%
11295.78302.08269514268143.50%
12302.08308.3726969268746.44%
13308.37314.99269516267950.14%
14314.99322.42269520267552.78%
15322.42330.13269623267354.81%
16330.13338.44269531266456.39%
17338.44348.66269527266856.75%
18348.66361.32269655264157.72%
19361.33381.21269562263354.45%
20381.23670.522696364233250.11%
  1. A

    100%

  2. B

    63.77%

  3. C

    76.05%

  4. D

    48.33%

  5. E

    Data Insufficient

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    63.77%

Question 17

+1 markOne correct option

What is the Capture Rate of applications having score greater than 273?

RankMinMaxTotal VolumeBads VolumeGoods VolumeKS
11261521909019090.0000
21521581909019090.0501
31581621909019090.1002
41621671909119080.1502
51671711909019090.1836
61711751909019090.2337
71751801909019090.2838
81801851909019090.3339
91851911909119080.3839
101911981909119080.4173
111982071909019090.4507
122072171909119080.5008
132172291909019090.5342
142292431909119080.5843
152432571909219070.6176
162572741909319060.6343
172742951909119080.6343
182953271909819010.6677
1932738319091218970.5843
2038369619092918800.4340
  1. A

    100%

  2. B

    68.33%

  3. C

    0

  4. D

    48.33%

  5. E

    Data Insufficient

Show answer

Correct answer

  • E

    Data Insufficient

Question 18

+1 markOne correct option

The Bankruptcy Bank, one of the major lending banks, has hired you to build a credit underwriting model to help their automated lending decisions. Their definition of default is 60-89 DPD. There is historical loans data since January 1, 2021 till November 30, 2024. Which of the following is true?

  1. A

    Jan’21 – Nov’24 data should be used for model training

  2. B

    Jan’21 – Sep’24 data should be used for model training

  3. C

    Jan’21 – Mar’21 data should be ignored from model training

  4. D

    Sep’24 – Nov’24 data should be ignored from model training

  5. E

    None of these

Show answer

Correct answer

  • D

    Sep’24 – Nov’24 data should be ignored from model training

Question 19

+1 markOne correct option

Which of the following is used to decide target variable definition?

  1. A

    Reject Inferencing

  2. B

    Roll rate analysis

  3. C

    Both Reject Inferencing and Roll rate analysis

  4. D

    Vintage analysis

  5. E

    None of these

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    Both Reject Inferencing and Roll rate analysis

Question 20

+1 markOne correct option

Which of the following is the last step in credit lifecycle?

  1. A

    Underwriting

  2. B

    Reject Inferencing

  3. C

    Collections

  4. D

    Propensity

  5. E

    Fraud check

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    Collections

Question 21

+1 markOne correct option

Which of the following is the first step in credit lifecycle?

  1. A

    Underwriting

  2. B

    Reject Inferencing

  3. C

    Collections

  4. D

    Propensity

  5. E

    Fraud check

Show answer

Correct answer

  • D

    Propensity

Question 22

+1 markOne correct option
  1. A

    The model overestimates the risk compared to the base value

  2. B

    Credit Score and Income push the prediction higher

  3. C

    Income and Employment History compensate exactly for the base value increase

  4. D

    The sum of feature contributions matches the prediction difference

Show answer

Correct answer

  • A

    The model overestimates the risk compared to the base value

Question 23

+1 markOne correct option

Which of the following is a key property of Shapley values?

  1. A

    They always assign the highest importance to the most frequent features.

  2. B

    They are always zero for features that do not influence the model.

  3. C

    They provide an explanation based on the absolute values of features.

  4. D

    They cannot be applied to regression models.

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    They are always zero for features that do not influence the model.

Question 24

+1 markOne correct option

What does a large horizontal spread of points in a SHAP summary plot indicate?

  1. A

    Low model complexity

  2. B

    High feature variability and importance

  3. C

    Perfect feature correlation

  4. D

    Uniform predictions

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    High feature variability and importance

Question 25

+1 markOne correct option

In the below summary plot find the model predicted value

  1. A

    -58.767

  2. B

    58.767

  3. C

    -56.93

  4. D

    +56.93

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    58.767

Question 26

+1 markOne correct option

Story: The Final Puzzle of the Cursed Map
In the heart of an ancient temple, Emma, Liam, Noah, and Sophia uncovered four fragments of a long-lost map, believed to lead to a hidden treasure—the Heart of Eternity. However, the map was cursed: only three of the four fragments fit together to reveal the location of the treasure. Using their AI assistant, the team converted the fragments into vectors:

The curse demanded that the team identify the three most aligned fragments to unlock the treasure. Using cosine similarity, they must calculate the alignment between every pair of fragments to decide which one to discard. Time is ticking, and the howls of the jungle grow louder…
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.

Which three fragments fit best?

  1. A

    A, B, D

  2. B

    A, C, B

  3. C

    A, C, D

  4. D

    B, C, D

Show answer

Correct answer

  • A

    A, B, D

Question 27

+1 markOne correct option

Story: The Final Puzzle of the Cursed Map
In the heart of an ancient temple, Emma, Liam, Noah, and Sophia uncovered four fragments of a long-lost map, believed to lead to a hidden treasure—the Heart of Eternity. However, the map was cursed: only three of the four fragments fit together to reveal the location of the treasure. Using their AI assistant, the team converted the fragments into vectors:

The curse demanded that the team identify the three most aligned fragments to unlock the treasure. Using cosine similarity, they must calculate the alignment between every pair of fragments to decide which one to discard. Time is ticking, and the howls of the jungle grow louder…
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.

Which pair has the least similarity?

  1. A

    A,B

  2. B

    B,D

  3. C

    C,D

  4. D

    A,C

Show answer

Correct answer

  • C

    C,D

Question 28

+1 markOne correct option

Story: The Final Puzzle of the Cursed Map
In the heart of an ancient temple, Emma, Liam, Noah, and Sophia uncovered four fragments of a long-lost map, believed to lead to a hidden treasure—the Heart of Eternity. However, the map was cursed: only three of the four fragments fit together to reveal the location of the treasure. Using their AI assistant, the team converted the fragments into vectors:

The curse demanded that the team identify the three most aligned fragments to unlock the treasure. Using cosine similarity, they must calculate the alignment between every pair of fragments to decide which one to discard. Time is ticking, and the howls of the jungle grow louder…
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.

The highest cosine similarity among the pairs is:

  1. A

    0

  2. B

    0.986

  3. C

    0.973

  4. D

    0.993

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    0.986

Question 29

+1 markOne correct option

Story: The Final Puzzle of the Cursed Map
In the heart of an ancient temple, Emma, Liam, Noah, and Sophia uncovered four fragments of a long-lost map, believed to lead to a hidden treasure—the Heart of Eternity. However, the map was cursed: only three of the four fragments fit together to reveal the location of the treasure. Using their AI assistant, the team converted the fragments into vectors:

The curse demanded that the team identify the three most aligned fragments to unlock the treasure. Using cosine similarity, they must calculate the alignment between every pair of fragments to decide which one to discard. Time is ticking, and the howls of the jungle grow louder…
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.

The cosine similarity between B,D is:

  1. A

    0

  2. B

    0.953

  3. C

    0.935

  4. D

    0.889

Show answer

Correct answer

  • B

    0.953

Question 30

+1 markWritten answer

You have a binary classifier that classifies a transaction as "fraud" (model says it is fraud), otherwise we assume it is "not fraud". Assume that:
- 1% of all transactions is fraud
- When an transaction is fraud, the model classifies it as "fraud" 99% of the time
- When an transaction is not fraud, the model classifies it as "not fraud" 99% of the time. What is the precision of the model? Express your answer as a percentage

Show answer

Correct answer: 50

Question 31

+1 markNumerical answer

What is the Roll Back rate for 120-149 DPD after 18 MOB?(in %)

Show answer

Correct answer: 29.215 (accepted within ±0.525)

Question 32

+1 markNumerical answer

What is the Roll Forward rate for 60-89 DPD after 18 MOB in ?(in %)

Show answer

Correct answer: 23.37 (accepted within ±0.55)