Question 12
A farm is worth 40 thousand under flood (20% probability) or 150 thousand in no flood situation (80% probability) next year. The farm was purchased for 100 thousand, financed by a loan of 80 thousand and equity of 20 thousand. The loan requires a promised repayment of 110 thousand. What is the expected payoff for the equity owner next year (in thousands)?
0
20
32
40